第1 篇 綜述
第1 章 商用飛機發(fā)展現狀與需求分析···························································.2
1.1 全球航空運輸總體情況····································································.3
1.1.1 全球航空運輸發(fā)展現狀····························································.3
1.1.2 未來民用飛機市場發(fā)展需求······················································.3
1.2 全球商用飛機產業(yè)發(fā)展情況分析························································.5
1.2.1 主制造商發(fā)展情況··································································.5
1.2.2 供應商發(fā)展情況·····································································.6
1.3 政府部門、監(jiān)管機構標準和要求分析··················································.9
1.4 國外民用飛機發(fā)展規(guī)劃和科技創(chuàng)新分析·············································.10
第2 章 商用飛機創(chuàng)新趨勢········································································.14
2.1 商用飛機創(chuàng)新發(fā)展驅動力·······························································.15
2.2 未來產品創(chuàng)新趨勢········································································.16
2.2.1 支線飛機創(chuàng)新趨勢································································.16
2.2.2 干線飛機創(chuàng)新趨勢································································.17
2.2.3 超聲速飛機創(chuàng)新趨勢·····························································.17
2.2.4 貨機創(chuàng)新趨勢······································································.18
2.3 未來技術創(chuàng)新趨勢········································································.18
2.3.1 新能源技術創(chuàng)新趨勢·····························································.19
2.3.2 新構型技術創(chuàng)新趨勢·····························································.20
2.3.3 新材料、新工藝、新結構技術創(chuàng)新趨勢·····································.21
2.3.4 智能化技術創(chuàng)新趨勢·····························································.21
第2 篇 產品創(chuàng)新
第3 章 未來支線客機··············································································.23
3.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.23
3.1.1 支線飛機市場現狀································································.23
3.1.2 未來發(fā)展趨勢······································································.24
3.2 需求分析····················································································.24
3.2.1 市場需求分析······································································.24
3.2.2 產品需求分析······································································.26
3.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.26
3.3.1 現有支線飛機情況································································.26
3.3.2 前沿概念方案······································································.27
3.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.29
3.4.1 潛在方案A：支撐翼混合電推進支線飛機··································.29
3.4.2 潛在方案B：分布式混合電推進支線飛機··································.30
3.4.3 潛在方案C：氫能支線飛機····················································.30
3.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.30
3.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.31
參考文獻···························································································.32
第4章 未來窄體客機··············································································.33
4.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.34
4.2 需求分析····················································································.34
4.2.1 市場需求分析······································································.34
4.2.2 性能需求分析······································································.36
4.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.36
4.3.1 現有窄體飛機情況································································.36
4.3.2 前沿概念方案······································································.37
4.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.41
4.4.1 潛在方案A：支撐翼/混合電推進窄體飛機·································.41
4.4.2 潛在方案B：氫能窄體飛機····················································.42
4.4.3 潛在方案C：BWB 新能源飛機················································.43
4.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.44
4.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.45
參考文獻···························································································.46
第5 章 未來寬體客機··············································································.47
5.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.48
5.2 需求分析····················································································.48
5.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.49
5.3.1 現有寬體飛機情況································································.49
5.3.2 前沿概念方案······································································.50
5.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.52
5.4.1 潛在方案A：中遠程寬體飛機·················································.52
5.4.2 潛在方案B：遠程洲際寬體飛機··············································.52
5.4.3 潛在方案C：氫能寬體飛機····················································.53
5.4.4 潛在方案D：BWB 傳統能源飛機············································.54
5.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.55
5.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.56
參考文獻···························································································.57
第6 章 超聲速客機·················································································.58
6.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.58
6.1.1 產品發(fā)展歷程······································································.59
6.1.2 產品發(fā)展趨勢······································································.61
6.2 需求分析····················································································.62
6.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.64
6.3.1 NASA X-59 低聲爆超聲速驗證機·············································.64
6.3.2 美國博姆公司超聲速客機·······················································.65
6.3.3 俄羅斯超聲速客機································································.65
6.3.4 國內超聲速客機研究工作·······················································.65
6.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.67
6.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.68
6.5.1 總體氣動············································································.68
6.5.2 結構材料············································································.69
6.5.3 航電/飛控···········································································.69
6.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.69
參考文獻···························································································.70
第7 章 高超聲速客機··············································································.72
7.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.72
7.2 需求分析····················································································.73
7.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.73
7.3.1 英國“云霄塔”項目·····························································.74
7.3.2 美國NASA 的X 系列飛行器···················································.75
7.3.3 波音公司的高超聲速客機項目·················································.76
7.3.4 赫爾墨斯公司的高超聲速客機項目···········································.76
7.3.5 凌空天行的高超聲速飛行器····················································.77
7.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.78
7.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.78
7.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.80
參考文獻···························································································.80
第8 章 商用貨機····················································································.82
8.1 發(fā)展概況····················································································.82
8.2 需求分析····················································································.84
8.2.1 市場需求分析······································································.84
8.2.2 性能需求············································································.84
8.3 國內外研發(fā)進展···········································································.85
8.3.1 現有商用貨機情況································································.85
8.3.2 前沿概念方案······································································.89
8.4 潛在方案與特點···········································································.92
8.4.1 設計方案與特點···································································.93
8.4.2 發(fā)展策略············································································.95
8.5 關鍵技術清單··············································································.95
8.6 發(fā)展路線圖·················································································.97
參考文獻···························································································.99
第9 章 城市飛行器···············································································.100
9.1 發(fā)展概況···················································································.100
9.2 需求分析···················································································.101
9.2.1 市場需求分析·····································································.101
9.2.2 產品需求分析·····································································.102
9.3 國內外研發(fā)進展··········································································.103
9.3.1 傳統航空器制造商的研發(fā)進展················································.103
9.3.2 初創(chuàng)城市飛行器制造商的研發(fā)進度··········································.104
9.3.3 汽車制造商和出行服務提供商················································.106
9.4 潛在方案與特點··········································································.107
9.5 關鍵技術清單·············································································.108
9.5.1 先進氣動布局設計技術·························································.109
9.5.2 信息控制綜合技術·······························································.110
9.5.3 能源動力系統技術·······························································.110
9.6 發(fā)展路線圖················································································.111
參考文獻··························································································.112
第3 篇 技術提升
第10 章 先進氣動技術·············································································114
10.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.114
10.2 非常規(guī)氣動布局設計技術····························································.115
10.3 變彎度機翼減阻技術··································································.116
10.4 層流減阻技術···········································································.117
10.5 表面微肋條湍流減阻技術····························································.119
10.6 降噪技術·················································································.120
10.7 風洞試驗驗證···········································································.121
10.8 CFD 技術·················································································.122
10.9 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.123
參考文獻··························································································.123
第11 章 先進航空材料與結構··································································.127
11.1 國內外發(fā)展概況·········································································.127
11.2 高性能復合材料·········································································.128
11.3 鋁鈧合金材料············································································.129
11.4 民用飛機折疊翼梢技術································································.130
11.5 非圓截面機體結構設計技術··························································.131
11.6 結構功能一體化防除冰技術··························································.133
11.7 多功能機身結構設計技術·····························································.134
11.8 結構健康監(jiān)測技術······································································.135
11.9 飛機結構數字孿生技術································································.137
11.10 發(fā)展路線圖·············································································.138
參考文獻··························································································.139
第12 章 先進航電技術···········································································.141
12.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.141
12.2 航電系統設計與集成··································································.143
12.3 綜合模塊化航電系統··································································.144
10.4 支持四維航跡運行的互聯式飛行管理系統·······································.145
12.5 下一代通信導航監(jiān)視系統····························································.147
12.6 基于空地互聯的飛機健康管理系統················································.148
12.7 未來智能駕駛艙········································································.150
12.8 空地互聯智慧客艙·····································································.151
12.9 全系統信息管理········································································.152
12.10 新型飛行記錄系統····································································.153
12.10.1 可彈射飛行記錄器····························································.154
12.10.2 云端飛行記錄器·······························································.155
12.11 發(fā)展路線圖·············································································.156
參考文獻··························································································.156
第13 章 先進飛行控制技術·····································································.158
13.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.158
13.2 飛控電子設計技術·····································································.159
13.3 主動控制技術···········································································.161
13.4 自主飛行控制技術·····································································.162
13.5 超聲速飛行控制技術··································································.163
13.6 智能飛行控制技術·····································································.164
13.7 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.166
參考文獻··························································································.166
第14 章 未來民用飛機電氣化技術····························································.168
14.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.168
14.2 高功率密度電源技術··································································.169
14.3 智能配電技術···········································································.172
14.4 大功率燃料電池系統開發(fā)與集成技術·············································.173
14.5 電作動技術··············································································.175
14.6 集成與適航驗證技術··································································.177
14.7 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.178
參考文獻··························································································.178
第15 章 先進環(huán)境控制技術·····································································.180
15.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.180
15.2 機翼電熱防除冰系統設計技術······················································.181
15.3 電動引氣空調系統設計技術·························································.182
15.4 綜合熱管理技術········································································.184
15.5 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.187
參考文獻··························································································.187
第16 章 先進制造技術···········································································.189
16.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.190
16.2 熱塑性復合材料成型與焊接技術···················································.190
16.3 大曲率縱橫加筋壁板整體成型技術················································.191
16.4 被動彈性剪裁機翼蒙皮絲束牽引成型技術·······································.192
16.5 柔性加工、智能裝配及智能檢驗技術·············································.193
16.6 新型材料結構功能一體化成型技術················································.195
16.7 氫燃料飛機結構集成儲氫系統設計制造技術····································.196
16.8 增材制造技術···········································································.197
16.9 金屬加工及系統總裝工藝技術······················································.198
16.10 發(fā)展路線圖·············································································.200
參考文獻··························································································.201
第17 章 先進試飛技術···········································································.204
17.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.205
17.2 先進試飛驗證平臺技術·······························································.205
17.3 虛擬試飛技術···········································································.207
17.4 機載測試技術···········································································.208
17.4.1 監(jiān)控系統智能化································································.209
17.4.2 數據分析與大數據應用·······················································.209
17.4.3 自動化技術······································································.210
17.4.4 多源信息融合···································································.210
17.4.5 網絡化與實時監(jiān)控·····························································.210
17.4.6 環(huán)境適應性······································································.210
17.4.7 高精度傳感器的使用··························································.210
17.4.8 人機交互優(yōu)化···································································.211
17.5 先進遙測技術···········································································.211
17.5.1 高帶寬、高速率································································.212
17.5.2 多通道多傳感器集成··························································.212
17.5.3 智能數據分析和實時監(jiān)控····················································.212
17.5.4 遠程遙測·········································································.213
17.5.5 數據可視化和虛擬現實·······················································.213
17.6 試飛數據智能化平臺技術····························································.213
17.6.1 整合多源數據···································································.214
17.6.2 實時監(jiān)控和預警································································.214
17.6.3 數據分析與智能決策··························································.215
17.6.4 移動訪問和遠程訪問··························································.215
17.6.5 安全性和數據保護·····························································.215
17.6.6 自動化數據處理································································.215
17.6.7 高效數據采集與整合··························································.215
17.6.8 實時數據分析與決策··························································.216
17.6.9 云計算與大數據分析··························································.216
17.6.10 云端數據分析平臺····························································.216
17.7 飛行器自主試飛技術··································································.216
17.8 其他先進試飛技術·····································································.218
17.9 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.218
參考文獻··························································································.220
第18 章 先進運行支持技術·····································································.221
18.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.221
18.2 智能維修技術···········································································.225
18.2.1 移動智能維修技術·····························································.226
18.2.2 預測性維修與智能維修決策技術···········································.226
18.2.3 VR/AR 維修技術·······························································.227
18.3 飛機智能繞機檢查技術·······························································.228
18.3.1 無人機繞檢技術································································.228
18.3.2 智能機器人繞檢技術··························································.229
18.4 智能供應鏈決策與支持技術·························································.230
18.5 射頻識別技術···········································································.231
18.6 供應鏈管理區(qū)塊鏈應用技術·························································.232
18.7 基于機器視覺的倉庫過程管控技術················································.232
18.8 客戶培訓操作行為監(jiān)控與評估技術················································.233
18.9 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.234
參考文獻··························································································.235
第19 章 先進動力系統···········································································.236
19.1 寬體客機動力系統·····································································.236
19.1.1 小型高效核心機································································.236
19.1.2 GE9X 發(fā)動機····································································.237
19.1.3 UltraFan 發(fā)動機·································································.237
19.2 窄體客機動力系統·····································································.238
19.2.1 GTF 發(fā)動機······································································.238
19.2.2 開式轉子發(fā)動機································································.239
19.3 公務機動力系統········································································.240
19.4 新型動力系統···········································································.241
19.4.1 分布式推進系統································································.241
19.4.2 混合動力系統···································································.243
19.5 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.247
參考文獻··························································································.248
第20 章 綠色能源技術···········································································.250
20.1 SAF ························································································.250
20.1.1 SAF 簡介·········································································.250
20.1.2 SAF 戰(zhàn)略需求···································································.251
20.1.3 各國政府的政策引導··························································.252
20.1.4 SAF 工藝、產量和認證·······················································.253
20.1.5 SAF 的投資、試驗驗證和應用··············································.254
20.1.6 啟示和建議······································································.256
20.2 氫能技術·················································································.257
20.2.1 氫能技術簡介···································································.257
20.2.2 氫能規(guī)劃·········································································.257
20.2.3 氫燃料電池······································································.258
20.2.4 氫渦輪發(fā)動機···································································.259
20.2.5 總結···············································································.260
20.3 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.260
參考文獻··························································································.261
第4 篇 技術融合
第21 章 5G·························································································.263
21.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.264
21.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.265
21.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.266
21.3.1 基于5G 的工業(yè)制造模式變革···············································.267
21.3.2 5G 空地互聯·····································································.268
21.3.3 5G 賦能飛機產品·······························································.269
21.3.4 5G 賦能飛機設計·······························································.270
21.3.5 5G 賦能飛機制造·······························································.271
21.3.6 5G 賦能飛機試飛·······························································.273
21.3.7 5G 賦能飛機運營·······························································.274
21.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.275
21.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.276
參考文獻··························································································.276
第22 章 人工智能·················································································.277
22.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.277
22.1.1 發(fā)展歷史·········································································.278
22.1.2 技術演進·········································································.279
22.1.3 關鍵技術的發(fā)展································································.280
22.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.282
22.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.283
22.3.1 智能飛行·········································································.283
22.3.2 智能設計·········································································.284
22.3.3 智能制造·········································································.285
22.3.4 智慧服務·········································································.287
22.3.5 智能試飛·········································································.289
22.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.290
22.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.291
參考文獻··························································································.292
第23 章 數字孿生·················································································.293
23.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.293
23.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.295
23.2.1 交互性············································································.295
23.2.2 可擴展性·········································································.295
23.2.3 實時性············································································.295
23.2.4 保真性············································································.296
23.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.296
23.3.1 應用場景·········································································.296
23.3.2 應用挑戰(zhàn)·········································································.298
23.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.302
23.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.302
參考文獻··························································································.303
第24 章 VR/AR/MR ··············································································.304
24.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.304
24.1.1 VR/AR/MR 發(fā)展歷程··························································.304
24.1.2 VR/AR/MR 技術現狀與發(fā)展趨勢···········································.306
24.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.307
24.2.1 真實感渲染技術································································.307
24.2.2 集群渲染技術···································································.308
24.2.3 自然人機交互技術·····························································.309
24.2.4 與5G 結合·······································································.310
24.2.5 與AI 結合········································································.310
24.2.6 元宇宙技術······································································.311
24.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.311
24.3.1 預研階段·········································································.312
24.3.2 設計階段·········································································.313
24.3.3 制造階段·········································································.313
24.3.4 試飛階段·········································································.314
24.3.5 市場推廣階段···································································.314
24.3.6 運營階段·········································································.315
24.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.315
24.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.316
參考文獻··························································································.317
第25 章 區(qū)塊鏈····················································································.318
25.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.319
25.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.319
25.2.1 技術特征·········································································.319
25.2.2 應用優(yōu)勢·········································································.321
25.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.321
25.3.1 應用場景·········································································.321
25.3.2 應用挑戰(zhàn)·········································································.324
25.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.325
25.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.326
25.5.1 經濟性分析······································································.326
25.5.2 環(huán)保性分析······································································.327
參考文獻··························································································.327
第26 章 石墨烯····················································································.328
26.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.328
26.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.330
26.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.331
26.3.1 下一代民用飛機輕質航空電纜··············································.331
26.3.2 新型石墨烯客艙內飾··························································.332
26.3.3 石墨烯高效熱管理材料·······················································.333
26.3.4 飛機輕量化用高強高韌石墨烯鋁合金·····································.334
26.3.5 石墨烯特種耐磨鋼·····························································.334
26.3.6 石墨烯聚四氟乙烯復合材料·················································.335
26.3.7 民用飛機用石墨烯“三防”特種涂料·····································.335
26.3.8 石墨烯柔性傳感器·····························································.336
26.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.336
26.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.337
參考文獻··························································································.338
第27 章 超導技術·················································································.339
27.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.339
27.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.341
27.2.1 技術特征·········································································.341
27.2.2 應用優(yōu)勢·········································································.341
27.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.342
27.3.1 應用場景·········································································.342
27.3.2 應用挑戰(zhàn)·········································································.344
27.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.345
27.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.346
參考文獻··························································································.346
第28 章 量子計算技術···········································································.347
28.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.348
28.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.350
28.2.1 技術特征·········································································.350
28.2.2 應用優(yōu)勢·········································································.351
28.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.352
28.3.1 應用場景·········································································.352
28.3.2 應用挑戰(zhàn)·········································································.355
28.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.355
28.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.356
參考文獻··························································································.357
第29 章 航空仿生技術···········································································.358
29.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.358
29.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.359
29.2.1 結構仿生·········································································.360
29.2.2 功能仿生·········································································.360
29.2.3 材料仿生·········································································.361
29.2.4 力學仿生·········································································.361
29.2.5 控制仿生·········································································.362
29.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.362
29.3.1 結構仿生·········································································.362
29.3.2 功能仿生·········································································.364
29.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.366
29.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.367
參考文獻··························································································.368
第30 章 腦機接口·················································································.369
30.1 國內外發(fā)展概況········································································.370
30.1.1 美國發(fā)展概況···································································.370
30.1.2 歐盟發(fā)展概況···································································.371
30.1.3 日本發(fā)展概況···································································.371
30.1.4 中國發(fā)展概況···································································.371
30.2 技術特征與應用優(yōu)勢··································································.372
30.2.1 基本原理·········································································.372
30.2.2 信號采集·········································································.372
30.2.3 信號處理·········································································.373
30.2.4 控制設備·········································································.373
30.2.5 反饋環(huán)節(jié)·········································································.374
30.3 航空領域應用場景與應用挑戰(zhàn)······················································.374
30.3.1 飛行仿真控制···································································.374
30.3.2 提升飛行員的訓練效能·······················································.374
30.3.3 無人機實時操控································································.375
30.3.4 飛行員大腦認知狀態(tài)監(jiān)測····················································.376
30.4 發(fā)展路線圖··············································································.376
30.5 經濟性和環(huán)保性分析··································································.377
參考文獻··························································································.378
第5 篇 展望
第31 章 未來商用飛機發(fā)展的新形勢·························································.380
31.1 商用飛機發(fā)展的優(yōu)劣勢·······························································.380
31.2 信息革命與能源革命··································································.382
31.2.1 科技創(chuàng)新的核心驅動力·······················································.382
31.2.2 信息革命·········································································.383
31.2.3 能源革命·········································································.385
第32 章 未來航空運輸體系發(fā)展趨勢及產品與技術展望·································.392
32.1 航空運輸體系發(fā)展趨勢·······························································.392
32.1.1 未來航空運輸工具將呈現市場差異化、需求個性化、產品多樣化的
發(fā)展趨勢·········································································.393
32.1.2 未來航空運輸系統將呈現互聯化、精細化、智能化的發(fā)展趨勢····.393
32.1.3 未來商用飛機將呈現低排放、低噪聲、低能耗的發(fā)展趨勢··········.393
32.1.4 未來航空技術將呈現跨領域、融合創(chuàng)新的發(fā)展趨勢，以驅動未來航空
產品創(chuàng)新發(fā)展···································································.394
32.2 未來產品展望···········································································.394
32.2.1 更加經濟高效的未來支線客機··············································.394
32.2.2 智能化、低碳化的未來窄體客機···········································.395
32.2.3 綠色化、高競爭力的未來寬體客機········································.396
32.2.4 更環(huán)保、更經濟的超聲速客機··············································.396
32.2.5 高超聲速客機···································································.396
32.2.6 未來貨機·········································································.397
32.2.7 未來城市飛行器································································.397
32.3 未來技術展望···········································································.397
32.3.1 新能源············································································.398
32.3.2 新材料/新工藝··································································.398
32.3.3 智能化············································································.398
32.3.4 新構型············································································.399
后記····································································································.401